Taxing Long Island
News12 New York
Download the App
Where to Watch
Local
Crime
Weather
beWell
The East End
Crime Files
Stony Brook Medicine
LIRR Strike
X Winter Benchmark.png

Anatomy of a nor’easter and how it could impact New York City?

This location is 40 degrees latitude and 70 degrees longitude. It is not a random point. It is a critical global location for forecasting east coast snowstorms effecting our area.

Michael Latella

Jan 28, 2026, 6:05 AM

Updated

Share:

More Stories

Many meteorologists talk about the 40/70 benchmark.

This location is 40 degrees latitude and 70 degrees longitude. It is not a random point. It is a critical global location for forecasting east coast snowstorms effecting our area.

X_Winter_Benchmark.png 1.png

When storms pass directly over this point and other items, like temperature, are in place, we get a big snowstorm. If a storm passes closer to the coast, or inside that benchmark, we see more chances of rain. If a storm passes east of this point, we get a glancing blow with light snow or flurries.

Right now, our long-range models are leaning toward the last scenario....a near miss. One other model is calling for a total miss. There is still plenty of time to watch this, and we will.

X_Winter_Benchmark.png SCENARIO 2.png
X_Winter_Benchmark.png SCENARIO 3.png

More Stories

Top Stories

00:54
RTLIMerrickCarnivalAttackJRosier5pm_2026-05-25-17-07-00

2 teen girls arrested, accused of assaulting 2 other teens near Merrick Carnival

01:50
F P1 PM 1(209)

Warmer weather and sunshine on the way for Long Island

breaking

Selden father sentenced to 25 years in prison for repeated sexual abuse of 5-year-old daughter

01:47
Farm

This farm in Oakdale offers fresh produce & employment opportunities

01:34
propane

Shelter-in-place lifted after propane filling station leaked in Bellmore

00:19
fatal crash

Driver killed after car split in half in Northern State Parkway crash identified

00:30
Impounded Vehicles

Street race ends in arrests, seizure of two cars on William Floyd Parkway

00:27
Screenshot 2026-05-26 130335

Tree falls on car, takes down power lines in Old Brookville

00:13
LIInwoodFire_2026-05-26-13-11-47

Eight people displaced after a Memorial Day house fire in Inwood

02:06
li10pmboljeremyvetmem_2026-05-25-22-04-40

Oakdale community unveils memorial for fallen U.S. Army hero Matthew Baylis

00:40
li10pmbolkarinadroneshow_2026-05-25-22-15-45

Memorial Day drone show lights up the skies at Jones Beach

00:18
AP101004035743 (1)

Sonny Rollins, saxophonist and restless genius of jazz, dies at his home in Woodstock at 95

APKnicksDefeatCavsGame4EasternAdvanceNBAFinals

New York back in NBA Finals for first time since 1999 after beating Cleveland 130-93 to finish sweep

House Fire Generic

Six displaced in early morning Uniondale house fire

01:59
Screenshot 2026-05-25 173348

Trapped between floors: Fairfield Fieldstone Apartments tenant says elevator's emergency help button failed

00:53
original-7BF683E5-650E-4032-B9B2-A287BF47795B

Crews light controlled burn to clean up gas leak at Bellmore filling station

00:51
LIFreeportMemorial_2026-05-25-12-46-18

Freeport honors its fallen at 107th Memorial Day Celebration

00:21
Image (5)

70-year-old dies after falling overboard in Hempstead Harbor near Sea Cliff Beach

beach water advisory

Beach advisory issued across Nassau and Suffolk after possible elevated bacteria levels

00:17
burglary charges

73-year-old arrested after items reported stolen from Shelter Island home

App StoreGoogle Play Store

info

Newsletter

Send Photos/Videos

Contact

About Us

News Team

News 12 New York

follow us

Twitter

Facebook

Instagram

more resources

Optimum Corporate

Optimum Service

Advertise on News 12

Careers

Content Removal Policy

© 2026 N12N, LLC

Privacy Policy

Terms of Service

Ad Choices