LIFORECAST

So, pets and humans and, you know, a lot of us have ties down their friends families. So, yeah, they can use all the help that they can get big, big storm coming. And actually the great weather that we have here is kind of helping to steer that storm. That's why it's moving from west to east like that. Usually we see it in the opposite direction. So we'll take a closer look in a minute, but we do have great weather at home. It's mostly clear tonight at the bus stop in the morning, a little bit of a chill. You need the jacket in the morning or at least a long sleeve shirt, but the afternoon is comfortable for the kids. You see that we'll get up to 68 degrees, just a light breeze. Now, Thursday, Friday, it will be some of the cooler days. Thursday morning, we have temps in the forties and fifties only getting up to about 60 in the afternoon and it's just gonna be a chilly finish to the week, but we're in fall. Now, we can expect that kind of weather for this time of the year. Mostly clear the next couple of nights. So through the 10th, something neat to maybe see if, you know, uh, the Drake constellation from that we could see some Meteors. There's the Draconian meteor shower right now. Look to the northwest sky starting in the evening. You might get lucky. It's about 10 Meteors per hour earlier in the week. A couple of you saw a fireball out east too. So we might see that. Here's Hurricane Milton right now, still category five storm. Here's the futurecast. You see how big the storm is affecting the entire west coast making landfall likely around Tampa. This is Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. The heaviest rain will track just north of Tampa, Orlando, some severe weather down south and the storm will track offshore by Thursday afternoon, moving away, staying out over the Atlantic and south of Long Island. So we are not going to be tracking any of those impacts here. I want to show you wave heights quickly, the middle of the storm right now, wave heights as high as 20 to 24 ft. So that big storm is just pushing all the water towards Florida. Thankfully, here at home, we've got that great weather a little bit warmer for the weekend. We're in the sixties to near 70 then another cool down for next week.

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Coastal communities from Tampa Bay to Key West should prepare for storm surge from Milton and take any future evacuation orders seriously.

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Milton gains strength in Gulf of Mexico as Florida prepares for another major storm

miltonupdate2

Have news. 12 meteorologist Alex Calamia with a Sunday morning update on tropical storm Milton. The storm is getting stronger. Winds are up to 65 MPH. So once we get to 75 now we have a hurricane. So we are expecting not only for it to reach hurricane status, but by this time tomorrow, it's a cat 2 may be approaching cat three strength. So to go from a tropical storm to a major hurricane in 24 hours is very impressive and unfortunate because this storm by Wednesay morning is knocking on the door of somebody in Western Florida. So the entire west coast of Florida needs to be on alert. But in particular, in the path is Cedar Key Tampa Sarasota, Fort Myers down to Naples. So the landfall can happen really anywhere in any of these towns or somewhere in between. But what you need to keep in mind is that the biggest storm surge impacts are going to happen south of landfall because that's where the onshore wind is going to be. And with this storm system, in particular, the heaviest rain is going to be a long landfall and north of landfall. So we have multiple threats coming in right now. The track has shifted a little bit far for southward. So if it does stay south of Tampa Bay, the worst of the storm surge will also be south of Tampa Bay. But unfortunately, communities all along South Florida, this includes Key West. Key West is not in a projected path but everybody, especially in central and southwest Florida needs to prepare for life threatening storm surge because of that onshore wind, the storm is going to get a lot larger. Let me show you some of the spaghetti plots. This is just the GFS model. You do see that clustering by the Tampa Bay area. But there are a lot of solutions that actually take it into Sarasota Fort Myers Naples. So nobody is, you know, out of the woods in Southwest Florida and the Tampa Bay area is still very much in play as well. Now, we have had uh more than our fair share of major hurricanes in the sunshine state since 2004. Look at all of them on the screen. This is just within 20 years most recently, of course, Helene less than two weeks ago. But Adalia also hit Taylor County that was in 2023. Uh So these storms did have a big surge for the Tampa Bay area, but notice that they were far removed from Tampa Bay and they also hit the state in a different direction. We have not in recent times, had a hurricane hit the Tampa Bay area right on. And so this is going to be a unique storm surge problem that has not been seen in Tampa Bay. And unfortunately, Helene had major storm surge issues in Saint Pete and the Tampa Bay area, Sarasota Cedar Key. Uh So, so these communities are still picking up the pieces from that, but depending on where the storm track takes Milton, it could be worse in those, some of those areas or perhaps a threat just like we saw with Ian in 2022 perhaps this becomes an issue for southwest Florida. Ian and Charlie had identical landfalls literally on top of each other, Ian was 2022 and Charlie was 2004. So southwest Florida very used to this threat and they are still possibly in play for some major storm surge. So everybody just needs to take any evacuations that come out in the next couple of days very seriously in western Florida because I think the biggest threat from this storm will be the surge. But we do have of course the wind threat along landfall. Right now, the National Hurricane center takes that landfall towards central Florida, but just be prepared because that track is still very wide. So this could very easily, the orange could be in Southwest Florida or it could be a little farther north. So we'll have to really keep an eye on things. This is how some of the forecast models take things. This is not Milton, this is actually some just massive tropical downpours ahead of the storm that are happening on Monday. So that's gonna challenge us when it comes to preparing for Milton because we already have some pretty decent heavy rain in the sunshine state before Milton even arrives Tuesday. Still dealing with some tropical downpours, but a little bit of relief compared to Monday. And then this is Milton. We'll see right now as I mentioned, wherever that landfall is, it does look like north of it will be where some of the biggest rain totals are. So let's take you into it. This is just computer model guidance. So don't pay too much attention to the we yet for the heaviest rain because right now it takes it to the Tampa Bay area, but things could move south, they could move north. But you do see that possibility for over a foot of rain. This is a lot of rain. So we're gonna have to keep this in mind. Certainly, if you have any plans in the Sunshine State on Wednesday into Thursday, you're going to wanna reconsider that travel because I do think that the people there are going to need to move away from the coast in many of these neighborhoods. And of course, when it comes to evacuation, the one thing you want to keep in mind is being as close to home as possible and as safe. I know during Irma, there was just massive backups on all the interstates because people were trying to move way out of state. And really the, the important thing to keep in mind when you're evacuating is that you just wanna stay away from the ocean storm search. That is the reason why people evacuate the wind issues will be there. But at least when you're inland, they're a lot more isolated. So stay tuned. We're gonna keep an eye on this storm as it gets closer. Fortunately, no impacts for us here in New York. But I know a lot of people have plans, homes, family loved ones in Florida just wanted to keep you updated.

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It turns a little bit warmer on Long Island with highs near 70 degrees through Friday. 

Sun and warmer temps return on Long Island for the rest of the workweek

Dvoskin was one of the first faces on News 12 and delivered weather forecasts for 30 years until retired in 2016.

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Longtime News 12 meteorologist Norm Dvoskin dies at 93

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We are remembering the loss of a longtime member of the news. 12 family meteorologist, Norm. Deskin Norm has died at the age of 93 and Norm was one of the first faces on news 12 and delivered your weather forecast for 30 years. He retired in 2016. Norm's unique style of mixing weather and humor with witty puns, quips and jokes always had us smiling. He even wrote a pair of weather related humor books. And before his time at News 12, Norm had a long career with Grumman and Beth Page researching how the environment impacted Grumman's projects. The long time Melville resident was a father of three and a grandfather. His services will be held at Gutman's Jewish funeral. Haman would bury.

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Expect muggy weather with some light rain showers through Friday and into the weekend as remnants of Hurricane Helene come through.

Chance for light rain continues through Saturday, sun and seasonable for Sunday

92624LIWEATHERFIXX10

Is it gonna be like a dreary weekend too? A 5050 weekend, we say, um, you know, we've been spoiled with great weather. Now, we've had some clouds around little bits of rain and, um, there's some more on the way before we get some sunshine. Tomorrow is mostly dry. Saturday morning, we could get some showers. It'll be remnants of hurricane Helene. Well, off to our southwest Sunday, Monday looks good. Maybe some showers in the middle of next week too. We'll keep an eye on it. But as of today, we do have a slight across parts of Long Island around the east end. It's been so, so dry this month, we've all been talking about it. And for western Nassau County today, we picked up about a trace of rain, very light amount. So it's not even gonna put a dent in the situation that we have hurricane Helene making landfall. Category four storm, massive storm. Now, racing to the north quickly, it will stay southwest of Long Island, but big um, shield of clouds and even precipitation. So we could get a hint of that early in the weekend. Tomorrow morning, showers to our north you see the clouds, a muggy start to the day warm in the afternoon. We're in the seventies, we see a couple breaks or thinning in the clouds. Uh, so we might get a couple of bright spots in the afternoon, but it's basically gray Saturday morning. This could be some of that tropical moisture. You only see a few sprinkles spot shower here or there. It's light with a little bit of a breeze out of the east and temperatures near 70 degrees. And then on Sunday, our weather will start to improve. We'll get you some sunshine rainfall totals. You can see there's just not much on the map. The dry air just keeps on winning and that's why we have that slight drought now for parts of Long Island and it could spread. So next couple days it's unsettled. Sunday looks better to Monday will be nice. Middle of next week, some showers and it will be seasonable. Daytime. Highs will top out in the low seventies with lows in the fifties.

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