The full Harvest Moon makes an appearance in our sky late this week. The question is will we be able to see it here in the tri-state area?

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Cloudy conditions could hamper seeing this week’s ‘Harvest Moon’

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It's that time again, the full moon is here this time, it's the full harvest moon and it happens in just a couple of days. Now, the only issue could be the weather, but we do have some better weather by the weekend. So this moon is special because it's actually the fourth in a row of super moons. And it's the first full moon after the autumnal equinox and known as the harvest moon. So this moon because it is a supermoon. Technically, it's within 90% of the closest approach to earth. It may appear a little bit bigger or brighter, but we had the closest full moon of the year last month in August when we had two of them. But because this one is a little bit closer, it's actually going to pull on our tides a little bit more and some minor coastal flooding, we also have a storm offshore so that in combination will create some coastal flooding there. And you can see counties highlighted in green already as we go towards the weekend. Now, tides are going to be running higher than average even into the weekend. That's because winds are also helping out. They're going to be coming on shore all throughout the tri state area. So minor tidal flooding is possible. You want to be extra careful where you park your car. Here are some safety tips, know your location, watch the tides and of course that wind direction, move your car. Don't park in those flood prone areas and turn around. Don't drown, do not drive through any flooded roadways because you don't know how deep that water is. Stay safe. Everyone in the weather center, I'm Storm Watch team, meteorologist Michelle Powers.

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News 12 Storm Watch Meteorologist says there will be another dry day before rain returns on Friday.

 Another day of sun before rain arrives to end the workweek

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Got it. Yeah, beautiful day. It's still pretty rough on the water though too. Atlantic Avenue Beach and a that we still have the waves. There is still a minor coastal chance for some minor coastal flooding, I should say at high tide. But overall what an improvement out there, visibility is great. It's just nice to have that sunshine temps on Long Island in the sixties. We're talking about a warm up coming as we head into the weekend and next week. But another cool night on tap, it's mostly clear through 11 o'clock. And by tomorrow morning, we're down to about 56 winds will continue to be the east northeast 5 to 15 MPH. High pressure is in place. So no worries tomorrow, but we are watching a storm out over the ocean that will bring in some rain by Friday tomorrow morning. Wake up weather at 7 a.m. 59 in orient, 59 in cut of 58 in Glen Cove. That nice will feel through the day. It's partly sunny, some sprinkles off to our south in the evening, but that rainfall should hold off until Friday morning. Friday morning. We have some scattered showers around temperatures will be in the sixties at 8 a.m. 64 Glen Cove a little bit warmer. 63 in Riverhead and those rain showers will kind of be on and off throughout the day. Still ironing some things out with this storm on where some of the heaviest rainfall could be, might be around the east end. We'll keep an eye on it. Now, Friday night to Saturday morning, you see some of that rainfall will linger. So this last batch could come through and then it will drift off to the south and we get an improvement through the day on Saturday. So right now Sunday is the better weekend day, but Saturday will not be a wash out. Here's your temperature outlook. This is for October 3rd through the ninth and we are trending warmer than average. So if the average temperatures in the upper sixties, it's likely that we're going to see more of the seventies popping up and we have that for next week. So tonight, 53 partly cloudy, another dry day tomorrow, 65 in Bridgehampton and 65 in Bay Shore Friday. We're watching the rain showers lingering to Saturday morning. Improving late Sunday looks great. And there you go next week. Sunshine across the board, nice and warm with temperatures in the low

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Scientists say El Niño is a natural climate pattern that typically comes every two to seven years, which brings warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures to the equatorial Pacific Ocean.

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Climate scientists: Effects of El Niño could produce more winter storms this season

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This year. Scientists are watching a rapidly developing and strengthening El Nino event. It's a natural climate pattern typically every 2 to 7 years bringing warmer than average sea surface temperatures to the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. That warming can influence our winter weather. The effects are pretty pronounced across Dr Daniel Swain, a UCLA climate scientist explains El Nino is not just a pacific story. The phenomenon typically leads to warmer and drier conditions in northern sections of the US with cooler and wetter weather across southern stretches of the country after California endured a winter of relentless atmospheric river systems. El Nino likely means more winter storms. This coming January through March could be on the way. I think there is a tilt in the odds towards a wetter than average winter, especially in southern and central California as well as other parts of the interior. Southwestern US. Dr Swain adds El Nino could mean an unusually dry winter in the Pacific northwest and Hawaii where we've seen wildfires like the devastation in August in Lahaina. But a curveball in this year's El Nino predictions how the abnormally warm water across the rest of the world's oceans could change how El Nino impacts us, the global oceans outside of the El Nino zone in the tropics are also extremely warm. And so that combination is something we haven't seen before. I'm Mike Valeo reporting.

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Cooler air starts to settle in, leaves change and the days grow shorter. These are signs that the fall season is here. 

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Fall is here with cooler air, leaves changing and shorter days

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It's the perfect time of year for leaf peeping apple picking or pumpkin picking. But what will the weather look like? According to the climate prediction center, temperatures are forecast to be above average through November with above average precipitation. We're already starting to see the leaves changing across portions of the tri state. However, after coming off of a hot, humid and rainy summer season, what will the fall foliage look like this season expect a delay in peak colors? Unfortunately, because of the above average rainfall this past summer, this can trick the trees into thinking that it's still growing season on the upside. Expect vibrant colors, yellow, orange and red that we all love and last a longer fall foliage. That means that you can still see the colors even through November that thanks to the cooler than normal temperatures this past summer season. So fall is here. Go out and enjoy it. I'm new. So storm watch team, meteorologist, ALCA.

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