There is a FROST ADVISORY in effect for some areas of New Jersey this morning that officially ends the growing season as frost is likely to form. This includes parts of northeastern, central, and southern New Jersey.
FORECAST:
A strong storm will develop across the middle of the U.S. that moves into New Jersey for Thursday, delivering strong winds, inland rain up to 2 to 3 inches in spots. This weather pattern is unfolding and developing, and details will be refined each day this week.
The jet stream carries a disruptive air pattern from the Dakotas to the Gulf Coast where it grows from absorbing its moisture. The jet stream continues to carry this storm to the northeast where it unloads it's rain and wind.
Gusts can also be between 30 to 50 mph. Strong coastal impacts are likely, too, with a strong east-southeast wind that washes away the beaches even further. Another attribute of this storm that needs to be watched is if it connects with the tropics.
There is a possibility that moisture from Hurricane Melissa can be absorbed into the weather front as it passes through New Jersey, enhancing rainfall. This detail is to be determined.
Melissa itself will be nowhere near New Jersey and will not post a direct impact at all.
However, Melisssa's impacts will be catastrophic for Jamaica as it will be the first landfall of a major hurricane since Category 3 Hurricane Gilbert in 1988. Jamaica has never seen a Category 5 landfall before in recorded weather history.
Between now and then the weather will be calm, sunny, and fair with high temperatures in the upper 50s under a sunny sky. Clouds begin to build on Wednesday with rain possibly arriving just after sunset.