STORM WATCH: Shoreline problems develop ahead of a nearby weekend coastal storm
Dangerous surf and minor high tide coastal flooding develop into Wednesday and worsen through the week with a chance for rain and strong wind across Long Island from a nearby coastal storm this weekend.
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STORM WATCH: WEEKEND COASTAL STORM
While the ultimate exact track of this weekend's storm is still somewhat unclear and will become clearer throughout the day tomorrow, Long Island will still have dangerous coastal impacts along the shoreline and there is still the chance for significant rain and wind. Stay with News 12 for important Storm Watch updates this week on-air, on social media and the News 12 app.
The timing looks to be more over the weekend now even though there is still a slight chance that rain can develop into Friday evening if the storm tracks close enough to Long Island. With a track closer to the coast, as depicted below, the entire weekend could be a washout with the potential of damaging wind gusts. The highest impacts would be over eastern Suffolk County, but it would be a nasty weekend of weather all across Long Island if this scenario happens.
The other scenario is still a track further east, but I do not think we are looking at a complete miss of land impacts anymore. Even the further east track looks close enough to at least provide us with off-and-on periods of rain, steadier to the east, and gusty winds. The wind in this scenario would be more in the 20 to 40 mph gust range and even though better than a track closer to the coast, this can still lead to some scattered power outages due to the persistent nature of the wind over a several-day stretch.
In either scenario, there will be rough coastal impacts of tidal flooding during high tide with a full moon into the weekend, beach erosion and dangerous surf. The level of severity of these coastal impacts would be worsened with a closer storm track or eased a bit with a further away storm track.
That said, rough offshore conditions develop Wednesday, with gale warnings posted as early as this evening for the ocean. These dangerous surf conditions will worsen through the end of the week. Minor coastal flooding will begin to be possible as early as the Wednesday evening high tide cycle, too. So, even though any potential direct LI impacts would be focused on the weekend, shoreline impacts are already beginning to develop. Keep an eye on the tides and shoreline forecasts through the weekend HERE.
GOODBYE SUMMER!
As of 8:05 p.m. this evening, it is officially fall.
EXTENDED FORECAST
TONIGHT: Mainly cloudy with a small chance for a few rain sprinkles this evening. Overnight, variably cloudy, breezy and cool with low temperatures in the middle 50s into Wednesday morning. Wind: Northeast 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to around 30 mph.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny and windy with high temperatures in the mid- to upper 60s. Wind: Northeast 15 to 35 mph. Dangerous surf on the ocean waters and minor high tide flooding will be possible as early as the evening high tide cycle. A gale warning is in effect for the ocean and eastern Long Island Sound. Lows near 53 degrees.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny and windy with gusts up to around 35 mph. Dangerous surf, beach erosion and the chance for minor to moderate coastal flooding during high tide. Highs around 66 degrees. Lows near 52 degrees.
FRIDAY: STORM WATCH - Mainly cloudy and windy. Depending on the track of a coastal storm, periods of rain may be possible in the afternoon and evening. Dangerous surf and the chance for high tide coastal flooding continue. Highs around 66 degrees. Lows near 53 degrees.
SATURDAY: STORM WATCH - Periods of rain and strong wind possible, highly dependent on the exact track of a nearby coastal storm. A better idea of the storm track becomes clearer on Wednesday. Dangerous coastal conditions offshore, along with the chance for ongoing high-tide coastal flooding. Highs around 65 degrees. Lows near 54 degrees.
SUNDAY: STORM WATCH - Periods of rain and strong wind possible, highly dependent on the exact track of a nearby coastal storm. Dangerous coastal conditions offshore, along with the chance for ongoing high-tide coastal flooding. Highs around 68 degrees. Lows near 55 degrees.
MONDAY: Sun and clouds. Highs around 68 degrees. Lows near 56 degrees.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs near 70 degrees. Lows near 58 degrees.
