Morning temperatures are in the single digits and teens across parts of New Jersey with feel like temperatures near zero.
This is due to the wind that creates this dangerous chill. Frostbite and hypothermia risk are high today for those spending extended periods of time outside without appropriate clothing. The sun will shine, but it is ineffective as it will not warm the environment. Icy spots linger, too.
A brief mild surge is expected for Thursday as temperatures push back to the lower to mid-40s. Cold returns for Friday ahead of the weekend where a storm could possibly impact New Jersey.
The storm this weekend is highly variable and track dependent. The storm is currently tracking to our south, which is our first scenario, and a south track would put New Jersey in the risk of experiencing a glancing blow of a few inches of snow.
If the storm takes a more northerly track, the second scenario, it could pout the center closer to the garden state which could encourage a wintry mix within the storm as it impacts New Jersey, leaving mostly snow for north and northwestern spots.
The northerly track follows the trend that's been omnipresent this season with each storm that impacted our area. This northerly track often changed forecasts within 24 hours of the storm's arrival. This particular storm will be dependent on the strength of the high pressure and cold weather over New Jersey preceding the event.
If this cold air or high pressure weakens, the storm can slide northward, which would introduce "Scenario 2" mentioned. This needs to be watched carefully and forecasts are expected to change between now and early Friday.