WOODBURY - News 12 Long Island's Elisa DiStefano and Newsday's Rafer Guzman are in agreement that some nominees with Long Island connections will be among the big winners at this year's Academy Awards. "The King's Speech," which has 12 Oscar nominations, is expected to score the top prize of the evening for best picture. Its nine competitors are "Inception," "Toy Story 3," "Winter's Bone," "The Kids Are All Right," "The Fighter," "True Grit," "Black Swan," "127 Hours" and "The Social Network," which was the early favorite.Colin Firth is considered a shoo-in for best actor his portrayal of King George in "The King's Speech."Barring an upset from Annette Bening for "The Kids Are All Right," Syosset's Natalie Portman should find herself on the stage accepting best actress for her role in "Black Swan."DiStefano and Guzman both expect "The Fighter" to clean up in the supporting actor and actress categories, with Christian Bale and Melissa Leo considered the favorites. Leo's father is a well-known bayman in East Hampton and she spent summers with him here."The King's Speech" is also expected to win the best original screenplay award. The writer, David Seidler, grew up in Great Neck and actually overcame his own stammer. The Oscars air Sunday night on ABC.